# Mobile Growth in 2026 and Beyond: Industry Experts’ Opinions

- Link: https://phiture.com/mobilegrowthstack/mobile-growth-2026-experts-opinion/
- Published: 2026-02-28T14:49:29+01:00
- Author: Phiture

###     Table of Contents

 * [Introduction](https://phiture.com/mobilegrowthstack/mobile-growth-2026-experts-opinion/#introduction)
 * [Part One: The Future of App Store Discovery](https://phiture.com/mobilegrowthstack/mobile-growth-2026-experts-opinion/#part_one_the_future_of_app_store_discovery)
 * [Part Two: From Channels to Systems](https://phiture.com/mobilegrowthstack/mobile-growth-2026-experts-opinion/#part_two_from_channels_to_systems)
 * [Part Three: The LTV Reckoning](https://phiture.com/mobilegrowthstack/mobile-growth-2026-experts-opinion/#part_three_the_ltv_reckoning)
 * [Part Four: AI, Speed, and the Next Wave of Apps](https://phiture.com/mobilegrowthstack/mobile-growth-2026-experts-opinion/#part_four_ai_speed_and_the_next_wave_of_apps)

![2026 mobile growth banner](https://phiture.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/MG-Stack_1600x876.
png)

**Seven industry experts on what comes next for app store optimization, user acquisition,
monetization, and the AI-driven future of mobile.
 
A Collaborative Article Hosted
by Phiture, February 2026

Table of Contents

 * [Introduction](https://phiture.com/mobilegrowthstack/mobile-growth-2026-experts-opinion/#introduction)
 * [Part One: The Future of App Store Discovery](https://phiture.com/mobilegrowthstack/mobile-growth-2026-experts-opinion/#part_one_the_future_of_app_store_discovery)
 * [Part Two: From Channels to Systems](https://phiture.com/mobilegrowthstack/mobile-growth-2026-experts-opinion/#part_two_from_channels_to_systems)
 * [Part Three: The LTV Reckoning](https://phiture.com/mobilegrowthstack/mobile-growth-2026-experts-opinion/#part_three_the_ltv_reckoning)
 * [Part Four: AI, Speed, and the Next Wave of Apps](https://phiture.com/mobilegrowthstack/mobile-growth-2026-experts-opinion/#part_four_ai_speed_and_the_next_wave_of_apps)

## **Introduction**

When we set out to map the year ahead in mobile growth, we had a great idea: why
don’t we just ask the very people shaping it? 

So, we brought together a fantastic cast of experts to answer a few critical questions,
starting with our very own Claudia Trujillo and Talha Mumtaz from our own growth
consulting team, not to mention Andy Carvell, our CEO. On deck, we have Simon Thillay,
who leads ASO strategy and market insights at AppTweak, and Marcus Burke, one of
the sharpest minds in Meta Ads and app growth advisory. To round it off, we talked
to Vahe Bagdasaryan, whose consultancy Tangent has become the go-to name in app 
monetization, as well as Roi Nam, CEO of AB180, the company behind Airbridge and
Airflux.

We asked all seven the same questions: What major shift do you expect in 2026? Why
does it matter? What should the industry stop doing? And what bold prediction are
you willing to put on the record?

Their answers cover the full spectrum, from how AI is transforming app store discovery
and rewriting the rules of search, to why siloed growth teams are becoming a liability,
to the case that most apps are leaving serious money on the table by ignoring lifetime
value. Across every contribution, one thread kept surfacing: the old playbooks are
expiring fast, and the teams that adapt first will pull away from everyone else.

What follows are their takes, in their own words.

## Part One: The Future of App Store Discovery

### **CLAUDIA TRUJILLO,**

_Senior Growth Consultant, Phiture_

**The shift**

There are actually two major shifts I am looking forward to seeing in 2026. On one
side, the evolution of new Google Play Store features for games and apps, including
Play Games Sidekick, the You tab, immersive headers, and more, and the expected 
impact on visibility, conversion, and retention.

On the other hand, the growing influence of AI on ASO is leading to an increase 
in search and discoverability across both app stores. How will AI interpret users’
natural language and search intent, and how will the stores respond with new AI-
driven processes and ASO features to support more advanced keyword optimization?

**Why it matters**

Regarding the evolution of features available at the Google Play Store, the shift
matters as it may alter how and where users discover apps and games. Teams should
adapt by monitoring how these features expand and their impact on long-term engagement,
signaling a shift in user experience, which may impact the store algorithm in the
long run.

With AI already redefining search results, I am curious to see how the stores will
adapt other discoverability placements and provide more tools for keyword strategy
optimization. Teams should adapt by monitoring how AI is already providing users
with excerpts of content and affecting results, and curating their ASO strategy 
accordingly.

#### “Manual keyword research will remain more relevant than fully AI-driven search. Natural search behavior is innate to users, and while AI can refine elements of keyword intent or initiate searches on a user’s device, it cannot replace the traditional human query patterns when someone searches for their needs in the app stores.”

 

### **TALHA MUMTAZ**

_Growth Consultant, Phiture_

**The shift**

In 2026, I expect ASO professionals to evolve into App Store Growth experts, managing
a truly full-funnel approach. This shift will become crucial as app stores, especially
Google Play, have already begun and will continue to integrate AI-backed features
designed to create a smoother user experience. As the journey moves from users actively
browsing store listings to AI systems answering questions or summarising the app
experience upfront, ASO experts will need to optimise store listings not just for
humans, but for AI-driven discovery as well.

This evolution means thinking beyond traditional keyword optimisation and experimentation.
Leveraging Custom Store Listings and Custom Product Pages for deeper audience segmentation,
understanding how the detailed app vitals affect the overall conversion (ANRs, crashes,
higher battery consumption), ensuring descriptions clearly explain the app’s value,
and aligning creatives with different users’ search intent will all require a broader,
more growth-oriented mindset.

**Why it matters**

App store algorithms are evolving in the post-AI era. Recent algorithmic updates
appear to prioritise app quality, content, and store performance metrics such as
ratings, reviews, conversion rate, and search term optimisation. As these algorithms
continue to evolve, ASO experts must evolve as well. The long-term direction of 
app stores increasingly points toward providing users with a complete, at-a-glance
understanding of the product through summaries and contextual information.

**Misconceptions to leave behind**

ASO is not becoming less important. In fact, it is more important than ever. However,
it is no longer limited to keywords and experimentation alone. Successful ASO experts
are evolving into growth-focused roles, with a stronger emphasis on optimising the
full app store experience. This includes leveraging Custom Product Pages to align
creatives with users’ search intent, creating tailored store experiences for different
user interests through Custom Store Listings, and managing paid and organic traffic
with distinct strategies.

#### “The app title should clearly communicate the most important feature, benefit, or value proposition, especially since screenshots and other creatives may not be the first point of contact for users arriving through discovery-oriented placements.”

**Bold prediction**

The reach of app stores will need to extend beyond the stores themselves. In 2025,
growth strategies such as web-to-app user journeys and Answer Engine Optimisation
became increasingly prevalent. In 2026, as AI assistants and discovery tools continue
to evolve, a greater share of traffic is likely to flow toward certain app categories
such as shopping, entertainment, utilities, and games. As a result, growth strategies
beyond app store optimisation will need to be incorporated into overall growth plans
to ensure apps remain relevant and discoverable.

 

### **SIMON THILLAY**

_Head of ASO Strategy & Market Insights, [AppTweak](https://www.apptweak.com/en)_

**The shift**

I believe 2026 will be the year Large Language Models make their impact truly felt
on App Store Optimisation, as the App Store and Play Store will revamp how search
results and other recommendations are presented to users. We know Apple and Google
have already made some changes in that direction in 2025, but I think 2026 is the
year they go further and move the goals of ASO from improving how apps are found
and downloaded (with keyword matching and creatives optimisation) to improving how
apps are discovered, recommended and adopted (with semantic matching, reviews analysis
and creatives targeting).

**Why it matters**

This shift matters first and foremost for consumers, as it could lead to the most
significant UX/UI change we have seen in years, particularly in the App Store if
Apple is able to deliver on some of the profound AI changes they have announced 
within the next 12 months.

For ASO teams, the shift will also be significant because it will challenge them
to determine which of their processes and “ASO recipes” work well enough in the 
new logic, and which need to change first. Keyword optimisation will not die outright
but evolve significantly towards semantic optimisation, and teams will start running
tests outside of the app store product page and Play Store listing to optimise their
visibility.

#### “Most importantly, I expect this shift will also mean the divide between paid and organic efforts will be even less relevant than in prior years, as growth marketing teams will have to collectively work to identify which are the relevant intents to target to acquire qualified users.”

**Misconceptions to leave behind**

Having siloed paid and organic teams compete in terms of user acquisition performance
is a far too common practice, and I hope more companies will leave it behind. In
2026, the best ASO teams will be the ones that are aware of blended acquisition 
costs and understand how they can contribute to performance increases, while top-
paid teams will have to look beyond direct attribution numbers and focus on blended
statistics and incremental results.

**Bold prediction**

LLM ads will outperform Apple Ads only for certain utility app verticals with subscription
models. While the launch of LLM ads is greatly anticipated and likely to bring nice
wins to early adopters, I expect that in the mid to long run, the analytics will
reveal the lion’s share of answer engines’ traffic is not as ready to download an
app as is native traffic in app stores, and while an LLM ad might contribute more
retained installers, the early acquisition cost will make them less profitable for
most app verticals.

 

## **Part Two: From Channels to Systems**

### **ANDY CARVELL**

_CEO, Phiture_

**The shift**

2026 will see a decisive shift in high-performing teams towards Integrated Growth
approaches. Integrated Growth is an approach that aligns marketing efforts across
the funnel, treating growth as a connected system, prioritised and measured against
business outcomes rather than channel-level performance.

In practice, it’s a closed loop: ASO informs paid, and paid sharpens ASO. Creative
and messaging cut across everything. CRM feeds acquisition (and vice versa), while
product signals power predictive value models that guide bidding. First-party data,
AI, and automation make this possible, but teams and incentives must shift from 
channel KPIs to business outcomes.

#### “The organisations that can orchestrate this loop in near real time will pull away from those still operating in silos. Some teams might want to consider reorganising into cross-functional pods to make this work.”

**Why it matters**

The idea of growth loops and applying systems thinking to mobile growth is nothing
new. However, two forces are at play that are rendering old growth playbooks less
effective and creating evolutionary pressure: signal loss (primarily due to increased
privacy regulation) and AI. Teams have been adapting to signal loss for some time,
but many app companies currently struggle with attribution and measurement. AI brings
the promise of incredible speed and scale of experimentation with very different
unit economics versus traditional manual approaches: this creates urgency.

In 2026, the performance gap will widen between teams that build AI-enabled integrated
growth systems and teams that remain stuck in channel-based execution.

**Misconceptions to leave behind**

#### “That releasing one more feature will change the trajectory of a product. Great products without a growth engine will lose to good products with superior distribution and experimentation velocity.”

Products are no longer expensive to build and are easier than ever to replicate;
it’s no longer enough to have a great product. The growth engine is what counts.

**Bold prediction**

The word of 2026 is velocity. Everything accelerates: concept validation, time-to-
launch, time-to-scale, and value extraction. A flood of AI-assisted apps will hit
the stores, many designed to attack incumbents in established categories. Brand 
still commands attention, but the moat is eroding. Incumbents will keep share only
if they can match challenger speed: faster learning cycles, faster iteration, and
faster execution.

 

### **MARCUS BURKE**

_Meta Ads & App Growth Advisor_

**The shift**

The best teams in 2026 will master audience diversification at scale by using AI
not just for creative production but for research and personalisation of touchpoints
from ad to onboarding and core product experience. LLMs and generative AI will let
teams drill into every sub-audience with messaging that resonates, then extend that
same level of specificity into the app itself.

2025’s hottest topic was Organic Social (a.k.a. “Viral apps”). Products like CalAI,
Locket, or Quittr showed everyone the importance of a highly visual, entertaining
onboarding and a strong activation feature to efficiently acquire broad, young demographics
and bridge the gap from dopamine-filled social feeds to your app. In 2026, legacy
brands will catch on. Re-focusing growth efforts on onboarding/activation and creating
tailored experiences for each channel and audience to lift their ceiling. All enabled
by AI.

**Why it matters**

Onboarding must be treated as an extension of the ad and the audience being acquired.
It needs to quickly adapt to the ever-changing composition of sub-audiences targeted.
For that to happen, onboarding must be dynamic and easy to test. The same goes for
pricing. Feedback loops between the growth team working on onboarding and user acquisition
must be extremely tight. Or even better: both must be driven by the same team.

**Misconceptions to leave behind**

#### “Younger demographics (under 25) can’t be disregarded anymore. They’re not immaterial or invaluable to subscription apps. We just haven’t been building products in ways that address their needs and preferences.”

Breaking your ceiling means not limiting your total addressable market by age, but
only by the constraints your product and the pain points it solves actually set.

**Bold prediction**

ASO will become a battleground again. With apps catching on when it comes to converting
a much larger target audience through focus on onboarding and diversification as
outlined above, most top search ranks won’t be defensible. Even for scaled legacy
players that have been around for ten years plus.

 

## **Part Three: The LTV Reckoning**

### **VAHE BAGDASARYAN**

_Founder & CEO, [Tangent](https://tangentgrowth.com/)_

**The shift**

The biggest shift in 2026 will be the industry’s transition from optimising short-
term monetisation metrics to explicitly optimising for user lifetime value (LTV).
Growth teams will increasingly move away from maximising installs, trials, or paywall
conversion rates and instead design monetisation strategies around revenue durability,
retention, and long-term user value.

**Why it matters**

This shift matters because many apps have reached diminishing returns on top-of-
funnel optimisation. Teams should adapt by redefining success around cohort-level
LTV, payback periods, and revenue curves, and by aligning pricing, trial mechanics,
and offer structures to reinforce long-term engagement rather than short-term conversion
spikes.

**Misconceptions to leave behind**

#### “Many teams still assess pricing or paywall tests without accounting for how they affect downstream behaviour like renewal rates, upgrade paths, churn timing, and expansion revenue. In 2026, monetisation decisions that aren’t validated on full cohort LTV will increasingly be viewed as incomplete or misleading.”

**Bold prediction**

In 2026, more teams will discover that their true growth bottleneck is not acquisition
or conversion, but insufficient LTV headroom. As a result, the most impactful monetisation
work will come from restructuring pricing and offers to expand long-term revenue
per user, rather than continuing to squeeze incremental gains from conversion optimisation
alone.

 

## **Part Four: AI, Speed, and the Next Wave of Apps**

### **ROI NAM**

_CEO, AB180 ([Airbridge](https://www.airbridge.io/) & [Airflux](https://www.airflux.ai/))_

**The shift**

In 2026, we will see a major expansion of consumer apps. This growth will be driven
by easy access to AI coding and no-code tools, which significantly lower the barrier
to entry and enable studios to launch multiple products with far greater speed and
efficiency. At the same time, large publishers from markets such as China, Vietnam,
and Turkey, many with deep roots in casual gaming, are actively exploring AI and
subscription apps as their next major growth engine.

**Why it matters**

This shift will significantly intensify competition. The baseline for success will
rise, with outcomes increasingly driven by aggressive soft launching and marketability
testing, followed by strong UA, and ultimately by continuous, data-driven LTV optimisation.
While this environment will be challenging for many long-tail consumer apps, it 
will also drive three major outcomes: an explosion of new AI-powered app categories
and rising new stars; the emergence of more super apps that excel across every growth
dimension and generate $100M+ in revenue; and the rise of app aggregators and UA
finance companies that acquire or scale apps with strong market fit but limited 
growth execution.

**Misconceptions to leave behind**

#### “The idea that games and apps are fundamentally different businesses is becoming outdated. Consumer apps are becoming more gamified, and many AI-native apps now rely on the same core growth fundamentals as casual games.”

While they differ in content, casual games and consumer apps, especially AI-native
and subscription-based apps, are increasingly similar in their growth formulas and
business models, including soft launch and marketability testing, scaled user acquisition,
monetisation optimisation, deep cohort analysis, predictive LTV, and more.

**Bold prediction**

In 2026, reinforcement learning will emerge as one of the foundational pillars of
marketing technology, acting as the interpretation and decision-making layer that
powers continuous optimisation. AI-driven ASO will require ongoing testing and intelligent
decision-making; without it, prompts will continue to produce suboptimal variations.
UA budget allocation will increasingly be optimised through reinforcement learning,
and within apps and games, numerous digital variables will be continuously tested
and refined using the same approach.

Ultimately, much of experimentation and growth automation will be governed by reinforcement
learning, enabling products to self-optimise at a massive scale within just a few
years.

**CONTRIBUTORS**

**Claudia Trujillo**, Senior Growth Consultant, [Phiture ](http://Phiture.com)

**Talha Mumtaz**, Growth Consultant, [Phiture](http://Phiture.com) 

**Simon Thillay**, Head of ASO Strategy & Market Insights, [AppTweak ](https://www.apptweak.com/en)

**Andy Carvell**, CEO, [Phiture](http://phiture.com) 

**Marcus Burke**, Meta Ads & App Growth Advisor 

**Vahe Bagdasaryan**, Founder & CEO, [Tangent ](https://tangentgrowth.com/)

**Roi Nam**, CEO, AB180 ([Airbridge](https://www.airbridge.io/) & [Airflux](https://www.airflux.ai/))
